Ðåôåðàòû. Èíâåñòèöèîííûé àíàëèç ïðîåêòà (õëåáî-áóëî÷íîé)

                                                                          1               2             3              4              5             6             7              8              9           10            11           12


1.        Ïðèòîê íàëè÷íîñòåé

          ( ñòð. 1. 1. + 1. 2. )                    2962,5        540, 0    172, 5     225          225         225         225         225         225         225         225         225        225

                                                                                                                                                               


1.1.Èñòî÷íèêè

ô                     èíàíñèðîâàíèÿ

( ñòð. 1 òàáë. 15 )                      600,0         540.0       60.0         -               -            -            -               -             -              -                 -                -               -


1.2.Âûðó÷êà

( ñòð. 3 òàáë. 17 )                    2362 5                        112.5     225          225         225         225         225         225         225         225         225        225


2.      Îòòîê íàëè÷íîñòåé              2409.75      532,0      153, 9   228, 56 166, 14  166, 14   166, 14  166, 14   166, 14  166, 14   166, 14  166,14    166,14

           ( ñòð. 2.1. + ñòð. 2.2.

           + ñòð. 2.3. + ñòð. 2.4. )                                                                                                                                                                   

        

           2.1.Îáùèå

èíâåñòèöèè

( ñòð. 4 òàáë. 14 )                     658, 76     532, 0      64, 34    62, 42       -             -            -             -                -               -                -                  -               -


2.2.Èçäåðæêè

ïðîèçâîäñò âà  è ñáûòà

áåç  àìîðòèçàöèè               

( ñòð. 4.1. òàáë. 17 )               1750, 99         -           89, 59  166.14   166, 14   166, 14  166, 14  166, 14   166, 14  166, 14  166, 14   166, 14    166,14


2.3.Íàëîãè

( ñòð. 7 òàáë. 17 )         -                   -             -              -             -             -              -              -            -                 -                  -                -                -


2.4.Äèâèäåíäû

( 30 % ãîäîâûõ,

 íà÷èíàÿ ñ

 òðåòüåãî ãîäà

 ðåàëèçàöèè

 ïðîåêòà                      -                   -               -             -            -              -              -             -             -              -                   -                 -                 -


    3.        Ñàëüäî

            ( ñòð.1 – ñòð. 2 )                                             8, 0      18.57     - 3, 56     58, 86     58, 86     58, 86    58, 86     58, 86     58, 86     58, 86    58, 86     58, 86    


4.        Êóìóëÿòèâíàÿ

êàññîâàÿ íàëè÷íîñòü

( ñòð. 3 ñ íàðàñòàþ –

ùèì èòîãîì )                                                 8, 0      26,57      23, 01    81, 87    140, 73  199, 59  258, 45  317, 31    376, 17 435, 03   493 ,89  552,75

          

          








Îêîí÷àíèå òàáëèöû 8.18.

Òàáëèöà äåíåæíûõ ïîòîêîâ ôèíàíñîâîãî ïëàíèðîâàíèÿ ( òûñ. ðóá. ).

                                        Âòîðîé è ïîñëåäóþùèå  ãîäû ðåàëèçàöèè ïðîåêòà

 


                                                                                                                            Ýòàïû è ãîäû ðåàëèçàöèè ïðîåêòà

 


                                                                             Ïîëíàÿ ïðîèçâîäñòâåííàÿ ìîùíîñòü

 


                    Ñòàòüè                                 2                          3                       4                      5

 

        1.    Ïðèòîê íàëè÷íîñòåé

        ( ñòð. 1. 1. + 1. 2. )                 2700                      2700                 2700                2700                                                                                                                                                                                  

 


       1.1.Èñòî÷íèêè

       ôèíàíñèðîâàíèÿ

       ( ñòð. 1 òàáë. 15 )                       -                        -                    -                            -

 


       1.2.Âûðó÷êà

      ( ñòð. 3 òàáë. 17 )                    2700                      2700                  2700                2700      

 


        2.    Îòòîê

                 íàëè÷íîñòåé                       2173,68               2222,67              2271,65            2369,63 

               ( ñòð. 2.1. + ñòð. 2.2.

              + ñòð. 2.3. + ñòð. 2.4. )                                                                                                                                                                  

 


                 2.1. Îáùèå

                  èíâåñòèöèè

                  ( ñòð. 4 òàáë. 14 )                   -                               -                             -                    -                      

 


         2.2.Èçäåðæêè

   ïðîèçâîäñòâà

         è ñáûòà

         áåç  àìîðòèçàöèè               

         ( ñòð. 4.1. òàáë. 17 )              1993,68              1993,68             1993,68            1993,68

 


                  2.3.Íàëîãè

                   ( ñòð. 7 òàáë. 17 )                             -                48,99                  97,97             195,95  

 


          2.4.Äèâèäåíäû

    ( 30 % ãîäîâûõ,

     íà÷èíàÿ ñ

     âòîðîãî ãîäà

     ðåàëèçàöèè

     ïðîåêòà                                    180,0                180,0                 180,0               180,0                

 


        3.       Ñàëüäî

                ( ñòð.1 – ñòð. 2 )                       526,32               477,33               428,3               330,37                     

 


        4.       Êóìóëÿòèâíàÿ

          êàññîâàÿ íàëè÷íîñòü

          ( ñòð. 3 ñ íàðàñòàþ –             1079,07              1556,4              1984,75           2315,12

       ùèì èòîãîì )                                     

          

          


Äèâèäåíäû ó÷ðåäèòåëÿì ÀÎ óñòàíàâëèâàåì â ðàçìåðå 30 % ãîäîâûõ. Ïî ðåøåíèþ ó÷ðåäèòåëåé äèâèäåíäû â ïåðâûé è âòîðîé ãîä ðåàëèçàöèè ïðîåêòà íå âûïëà÷èâàþòñÿ.

Èç òàáëèöû 18 âèäíî, ÷òî êóìóëÿòèâíàÿ êàññîâàÿ íàëè÷íîñòü èìååò ïîëîæèòåëüíûå çíà÷åíèÿ íà âñåõ øàãàõ ðàñ÷åòà. Ýòî ïîäòâåðæäàåò ôèíàíñîâóþ îñóùåñòâèìîñòü ïðîåêòà.


8. 7. Ìîäåëü äèñêîíòèðîâàííûõ äåíåæíûõ ïîòîêîâ.


Öåíû.    Ðàñ÷åò ÷èñòîé òåêóùåé ñòîèìîñòè â ïðåäåëàõ ðàñ÷åòíîãî ïåðèîäà ïðîèçâîäèì â áàçèñíûõ öåíàõ, ÷òî ñîîòâåòñòâóåò ýòàïó îïðåäåëåíèÿ  âîçìîæíîñòåé.


Íîðìà äèñêîíòà ( Å = 0,35 ). Íîðìó äèñêîíòà ïðèíèìàåì èç  ñëåäóþùèõ  ñîîáðàæåíèé:

-  íîðìà  ïðèáûëè  óäîâëåòâîðÿþùàÿ  àêöèîíåðîâ -  30%;

-  ïðåìèÿ  íà  ðèñê  -  5%.


Çà òî÷êó ïðèâåäåíèÿ ( t 0 ) ðàçíîâðåìåííûõ çàòðàò è ðåçóëüòàòîâ ïðèíèìàåì êîíåö âòîðîãî ìåñÿöà ðåàëèçàöèè ïðîåêòà ( òî åñòü ìîìåíò âûõîäà ïðåäïðèÿòèÿ íà ïðîåêòíóþ ìîùíîñòü ).

 ýòîì ñëó÷àå êîýôôèöèåíò äèñêîíòèðîâàíèÿ ðàññ÷èòûâàåì  ïî ôîðìóëå :


 


                                                                             1

                                                           α t  =

                                                                                                         t - 1

                                                                         ( 1 + Å )




ãäå α t – êîýôôèöèåíò äèñêîíòèðîâàíèÿ ;

Å – íîðìà äèñêîíòà ;

ι – íîìåð øàãà ðàñ÷åòà.























Ðàñ÷åò ÷èñòîé òåêóùåé ñòîèìîñòè ñâåäåí â òàáëèöó 19.


                                                                                                                                         Òàáëèöà   19.


                Ìîäåëü  äèñêîíòèðîâàííûõ   äåíåæíûõ   ïîòîêîâ   ïî   ãîäàì   ðåàëèçàöèè   ïðîåêòà   (òûñ.ðóá.)



                                                                                                          Ãîäû  è  ýòàïû  ðåàëèçàöèè  ïðîåêòà

Ñòðàíèöû: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13



2012 © Âñå ïðàâà çàùèùåíû
Ïðè èñïîëüçîâàíèè ìàòåðèàëîâ àêòèâíàÿ ññûëêà íà èñòî÷íèê îáÿçàòåëüíà.